Bayreuth SpVgg vs VfB Helmbrechts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
10%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
BAY
1 - 5
WEI
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
PSR
2 - 0
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
BAY
1 - 4
FRO
74%
17%
10%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
JFO
4 - 2
BAY
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 1996 |
BAY
2 - 2
SVS
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Helmbrechts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
VBH
3 - 6
PSR
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1996 |
FRO
3 - 0
VBH
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1996 |
VBH
0 - 0
JFO
31%
27%
42%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
SVS
6 - 0
VBH
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1996 |
VBH
2 - 0
AHA
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |