Bayreuth SpVgg vs Selbitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 2
BAY
19%
22%
59%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
AUB
45%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AHA
2 - 1
BAY
33%
24%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAY
3 - 1
AMM
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
NEU
0 - 0
BAY
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SEL
0 - 3
SAN
35%
24%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ERB
5 - 3
SEL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 2
WUR
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AMB
6 - 1
SEL
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 2
SEL
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |