Bayreuth SpVgg vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
HES
0 - 0
BAY
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1982 |
BRE
2 - 0
BAY
73%
15%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
BAY
2 - 0
VFB
74%
16%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
BAY
4 - 2
KÖL
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
HER
0 - 0
BAY
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
ROT
0 - 1
WAL
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1982 |
ROT
0 - 4
MON
30%
22%
48%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
ROT
1 - 0
AAA
66%
19%
14%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1981 |
ROT
4 - 1
LEV
51%
21%
29%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
FRE
3 - 1
ROT
55%
22%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |