Bayreuth SpVgg vs ASV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
JFO
2 - 3
BAY
45%
24%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 0
GRO
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
AMM
2 - 0
BAY
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 2
JRE
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
BAY
4 - 0
FRO
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
ASV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
NEU
1 - 2
AHA
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MEM
2 - 2
NEU
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NEU
0 - 0
HOL
75%
16%
10%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 3
NEU
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
WEI
5 - 1
NEU
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |