Bayreuth SpVgg vs Memmingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
VRG
1 - 1
BAY
11%
18%
72%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 1
VIK
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BAY
6 - 1
SCH
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HEI
0 - 3
BAY
26%
22%
52%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BAY
3 - 1
SCH
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Memmingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 1
NUR
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 1
ILL
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
AUG
3 - 0
MEM
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 1
BUC
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
ROS
1 - 1
MEM
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |