Bayreuth SpVgg vs Illertissen analysis

Bayreuth SpVgg Illertissen
57 ELO 59
0.9% Tilt 2.6%
2695º General ELO ranking 2556º
114º Country ELO ranking 105º
ELO win probability
38.3%
Bayreuth SpVgg
26.7%
Draw
35.1%
Illertissen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35%
Win probability
Illertissen
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayreuth SpVgg
-16%
-17%
Illertissen

Points and table prediction

Bayreuth SpVgg
Their league position
Illertissen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
51
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Schweinfurt
68
68
100%
Buchbach
59
59
100%
Würzburger Kickers
57
57
100%
Bayern München II
56
56
100%
Greuther Fürth II
56
56
100%
Bayreuth SpVgg
55
55
100%
SV Wacker Burghausen
52
52
0%
Vilzing
52
52
0%
Illertissen
51
51
100%
SpVgg Ansbach
10º
46
46
10º
100%
Nürnberg II
11º
45
45
11º
100%
FC Augsburg II
12º
42
42
12º
100%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
14º
40
40
13º
63.5%
Aubstadt
13º
40
40
14º
63.5%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
15º
37
38
15º
63.5%
Hankofen-Hailing
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Eintracht Bamberg
17º
25
25
17º
100%
Türkgücü München
18º
22
23
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bayreuth SpVgg
Illertissen
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bayreuth SpVgg
Illertissen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2024
WUR
Würzburger Kickers
0 - 4
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
74%
17%
9%
54 68 14 0
30 Aug. 2024
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 0
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
38%
25%
37%
53 56 3 +1
23 Aug. 2024
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
24%
24%
53%
53 45 8 0
16 Aug. 2024
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
0 - 1
Schweinfurt
SCH
47%
23%
30%
54 51 3 -1
09 Aug. 2024
BAY
Bayern München II
4 - 2
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
63%
21%
16%
55 61 6 -1

Matches

Illertissen
Illertissen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2024
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
0 - 3
Illertissen
ILL
42%
26%
33%
58 56 2 0
30 Aug. 2024
ILL
Illertissen
1 - 3
Schweinfurt
SCH
56%
22%
23%
59 54 5 -1
24 Aug. 2024
EIN
Eintracht Bamberg
0 - 2
Illertissen
ILL
25%
25%
51%
58 47 11 +1
16 Aug. 2024
ILL
Illertissen
2 - 0
Buchbach
BUC
76%
16%
9%
58 45 13 0
10 Aug. 2024
HAH
Hankofen-Hailing
0 - 1
Illertissen
ILL
19%
24%
57%
58 42 16 0