Bayreuth SpVgg vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
AUG
2 - 6
BAY
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
ROS
1 - 5
BAY
11%
18%
72%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 1
BAY
19%
21%
61%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAY
1 - 2
FCP
56%
21%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 1
MEM
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
ILL
4 - 0
AUG
23%
24%
54%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
ILL
2 - 4
NUR
27%
24%
50%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
UNT
0 - 2
ILL
74%
17%
10%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ILL
1 - 2
WAC
26%
24%
51%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 3
ILL
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |