Bayreuth SpVgg vs Illertissen analysis

Bayreuth SpVgg Illertissen
51 ELO 39
11.8% Tilt 19.3%
2693º General ELO ranking 2555º
114º Country ELO ranking 104º
ELO win probability
71.6%
Bayreuth SpVgg
16.8%
Draw
11.5%
Illertissen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.5%
Win probability
Illertissen
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayreuth SpVgg
-15%
-17%
Illertissen

ELO progression

Bayreuth SpVgg
Illertissen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2021
AUG
FC Augsburg II
2 - 6
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
27%
23%
50%
49 44 5 0
24 Sep. 2021
ROS
Rosenheim
1 - 5
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
11%
18%
72%
49 30 19 0
11 Sep. 2021
SCH
Schalding-Heining
0 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
19%
21%
61%
48 37 11 +1
04 Sep. 2021
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 2
FC Pipinsried
FCP
56%
21%
22%
49 46 3 -1
28 Aug. 2021
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 1
Memmingen
MEM
76%
15%
9%
49 36 13 0

Matches

Illertissen
Illertissen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2021
ILL
Illertissen
4 - 0
FC Augsburg II
AUG
23%
24%
54%
35 47 12 0
10 Sep. 2021
ILL
Illertissen
2 - 4
Nürnberg II
NUR
27%
24%
50%
36 45 9 -1
03 Sep. 2021
UNT
Unterhaching
0 - 2
Illertissen
ILL
74%
17%
10%
34 50 16 +2
31 Aug. 2021
ILL
Illertissen
1 - 2
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
26%
24%
51%
35 44 9 -1
28 Aug. 2021
SCH
Schalding-Heining
1 - 3
Illertissen
ILL
47%
22%
31%
34 35 1 +1