Bayreuth SpVgg vs Hollfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
JFO
1 - 0
BAY
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 4
BAY
56%
21%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AMM
1 - 1
BAY
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BAY
0 - 4
NEU
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 1
SCH
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hollfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 0
SAN
28%
23%
48%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ERB
3 - 1
HOL
80%
12%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 4
AUB
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AHA
4 - 0
HOL
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 1
AMM
23%
23%
55%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |