Bayreuth SpVgg vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
7º
6º
56
5º
17º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
51 | 51 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
63.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 38 |
15º
|
63.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 0
BAY
24%
24%
53%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
SCH
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 2
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
EIN
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
NUR
1 - 3
BAY
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
GRE
40%
25%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
EIN
68%
19%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 4
GRE
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 0
HAH
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 3
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |