Bayreuth SpVgg vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
FCP
0 - 3
BAY
43%
25%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
MEM
1 - 2
BAY
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
BAY
1 - 1
ISM
41%
25%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
NUR
2 - 3
BAY
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BAY
3 - 0
SCS
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
WOL
1 - 4
GRE
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 3
FCP
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 1
ANS
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
WEI
3 - 3
GRE
26%
25%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 3
MEM
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |