Bayreuth SpVgg vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
FUR
3 - 3
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
BAY
5 - 1
GRO
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
BAY
1 - 2
ISM
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BAY
5 - 1
WUR
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MEM
0 - 0
BAY
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 1
WUR
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
MEM
1 - 0
GRE
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 3
GRO
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
ANS
0 - 4
GRE
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
TSV
1 - 0
GRE
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |