Bayreuth SpVgg vs Freiburg II analysis

Bayreuth SpVgg Freiburg II
54 ELO 60
15.4% Tilt 16.4%
2695º General ELO ranking 1843º
114º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
43.6%
Bayreuth SpVgg
25.5%
Draw
30.9%
Freiburg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.9%
Win probability
Freiburg II
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayreuth SpVgg
-16%
-19%
Freiburg II

Points and table prediction

Bayreuth SpVgg
Their league position
Freiburg II
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
15º
20º
20º
73
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Elversberg
74
74
100%
Freiburg II
73
73
100%
VfL Osnabrück
70
70
100%
Wehen Wiesbaden
70
70
100%
1. FC Saarbrücken
69
69
100%
Dynamo Dresden
69
69
100%
Waldhof Mannheim
60
60
100%
1860 München
57
57
100%
Viktoria Köln
55
55
100%
Verl
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Ingolstadt 04
11º
47
47
11º
100%
MSV Duisburg
12º
46
46
12º
100%
B. Dortmund II
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Erzgebirge Aue
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Rot-Weiss Essen
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Hallescher FC
16º
41
41
16º
100%
SV Meppen
17º
37
37
17º
100%
VfB Oldenburg
18º
35
35
18º
0%
Zwickau
19º
35
35
19º
0%
Bayreuth SpVgg
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bayreuth SpVgg
Freiburg II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Bayreuth SpVgg
Freiburg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2022
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 3
Hamburger SV
HSV
11%
16%
73%
55 77 22 0
23 Jul. 2022
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
47%
26%
28%
56 61 5 -1
16 Jul. 2022
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 1
Energie Cottbus
COT
53%
22%
25%
56 53 3 0
13 Jul. 2022
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
0 - 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
LOK
68%
18%
14%
56 48 8 0
09 Jul. 2022
DAR
Darmstadt 98
4 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
78%
15%
8%
56 76 20 0

Matches

Freiburg II
Freiburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jul. 2022
FRE
Freiburg II
1 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
35%
27%
38%
59 60 1 0
16 Jul. 2022
FRE
Freiburg II
1 - 1
Hoffenheim II
HOF
74%
17%
9%
59 42 17 0
08 Jul. 2022
FRE
Freiburg II
0 - 3
Stuttgarter Kickers
SVS
69%
19%
12%
59 44 15 0
28 Jun. 2022
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 - 0
Freiburg II
FRE
63%
21%
16%
59 67 8 0
24 Jun. 2022
FCV
FC Vaduz
0 - 2
Freiburg II
FRE
65%
20%
15%
59 67 8 0