Bayreuth SpVgg vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
HER
0 - 0
BAY
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
BAY
2 - 1
SGF
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
WWO
1 - 0
BAY
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
BAY
3 - 1
HAN
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
S04
6 - 0
BAY
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
KÖL
2 - 2
WAL
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
AAA
1 - 0
KÖL
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 2
FRE
64%
19%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
USO
4 - 2
KÖL
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
KÖL
5 - 2
OSN
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |