Bayreuth SpVgg vs Passau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
BAY
0 - 3
BAY
30%
25%
46%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
SCS
1 - 1
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
BAY
2 - 0
NUR
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
JRE
5 - 0
BAY
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BAY
3 - 0
WEI
49%
25%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Passau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
FCP
5 - 0
WUR
37%
26%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FCP
1 - 0
MEM
24%
24%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
GRO
2 - 2
FCP
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
FCP
0 - 0
TSV
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
186
3 - 1
FCP
84%
12%
4%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |