Bayreuth SpVgg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
FRE
0 - 0
BAY
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
BAY
3 - 1
SCH
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
VFR
2 - 2
BAY
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
BAY
2 - 3
FSV
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
BAY
6 - 3
BAY
74%
17%
10%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
FCN
5 - 1
MUN
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
SSV
1 - 1
FCN
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
FCN
4 - 1
HES
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
BUR
2 - 3
FCN
22%
22%
56%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
FCN
2 - 2
HEI
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |