Bayreuth SpVgg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1972 |
WAL
0 - 1
BAY
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1972 |
KAI
4 - 0
BAY
81%
11%
8%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
BAY
1 - 1
SGF
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
SSV
1 - 2
BAY
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
BAY
4 - 2
KAI
23%
20%
57%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1972 |
FCN
3 - 0
HEI
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
SVS
3 - 0
FCN
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
FCN
3 - 1
HES
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
BAY
3 - 0
FCN
63%
19%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
SCH
2 - 2
FCN
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |