Bayreuth SpVgg vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis

Bayreuth SpVgg Ingolstadt 04
29 ELO 61
22% Tilt 25.9%
2674º General ELO ranking 843º
114º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
23.5%
Bayreuth SpVgg
23.6%
Draw
53%
Ingolstadt 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
53%
Win probability
Ingolstadt 04
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayreuth SpVgg
-5%
+4%
Ingolstadt 04

ELO progression

Bayreuth SpVgg
Ingolstadt 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2001
FEU
Feucht SC
1 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
61%
21%
18%
27 35 8 0
25 Jul. 2001
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 2
Bayern Hof
BAY
43%
25%
32%
27 36 9 0
22 May. 1999
TSA
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
2 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
79%
14%
8%
26 45 19 +1
15 May. 1999
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
0 - 0
TSV Aindling
TSV
39%
25%
36%
26 36 10 0
08 May. 1999
SCS
SC 04 Schwabach
6 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
68%
18%
13%
27 40 13 -1

Matches

Ingolstadt 04
Ingolstadt 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2001
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 1
Würzburger FV
WUR
75%
16%
9%
61 30 31 0
14 May. 1972
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 2
Bayern Hof
BAY
37%
28%
36%
55 69 14 +6
07 May. 1972
HES
Hessen Kassel
1 - 3
Ingolstadt 04
ING
76%
16%
9%
54 64 10 +1
30 Apr. 1972
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 2
Freiburger FC
FRE
52%
24%
25%
54 58 4 0
23 Apr. 1972
HEI
VfR Heilbronn
1 - 3
Ingolstadt 04
ING
68%
21%
12%
53 61 8 +1