Bayreuth SpVgg vs FC Falke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
QUF
1 - 2
BAY
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
BAY
2 - 1
ANS
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
186
5 - 0
BAY
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
BAY
1 - 0
FUR
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TSV
1 - 0
BAY
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Falke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
FCF
0 - 1
BAY
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
SCS
2 - 2
FCF
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
FCF
0 - 1
NUR
22%
23%
55%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
WEI
1 - 3
FCF
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
FCF
1 - 3
GRE
24%
23%
54%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |