Bayreuth SpVgg vs FC Augsburg analysis

Bayreuth SpVgg FC Augsburg
74 ELO 57
17.9% Tilt 13%
2687º General ELO ranking 85º
110º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
74.9%
Bayreuth SpVgg
15.6%
Draw
9.5%
FC Augsburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.5%
Win probability
FC Augsburg
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayreuth SpVgg
-12%
+8%
FC Augsburg

ELO progression

Bayreuth SpVgg
FC Augsburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 1979
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
2 - 3
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
46%
24%
30%
73 66 7 0
11 Apr. 1979
KSC
Karlsruher SC
3 - 3
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
60%
21%
19%
73 74 1 0
07 Apr. 1979
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 2
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
60%
21%
19%
73 74 1 0
30 Mar. 1979
SGF
Greuther Fürth
0 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
47%
25%
28%
73 71 2 0
25 Mar. 1979
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 1
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
53%
23%
25%
73 77 4 0

Matches

FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 1979
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 2
1860 München
MUN
33%
26%
42%
58 77 19 0
21 Apr. 1979
AUG
FC Augsburg
4 - 3
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
38%
29%
34%
57 74 17 +1
16 Apr. 1979
MTV
MTV Ingolstadt
2 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
45%
22%
33%
58 54 4 -1
11 Apr. 1979
SGF
Greuther Fürth
3 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
64%
21%
15%
58 72 14 0
07 Apr. 1979
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 1
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
29%
25%
46%
58 77 19 0