Bayreuth SpVgg vs DJK Bamberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
MEM
3 - 2
BAY
27%
24%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 0
GRO
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 2
GRO
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
UNT
0 - 3
BAY
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BAY
4 - 1
BAY
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
DJK Bamberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
DJJ
4 - 0
SAN
44%
24%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
ERB
0 - 3
DJJ
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +2 |