Bayreuth SpVgg vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
BAY
1 - 1
BAY
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
VIK
0 - 1
BAY
27%
22%
51%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 3
SCH
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAY
4 - 2
ILL
72%
17%
12%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
AUG
2 - 6
BAY
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BUC
1 - 0
ROS
81%
12%
7%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
UNT
2 - 2
BUC
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
BUC
2 - 0
SCH
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 5
BUC
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
BUC
2 - 2
BAY
15%
20%
66%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |