Bayreuth SpVgg vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
MEM
2 - 3
BAY
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 3
VRG
50%
23%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
VIK
4 - 0
BAY
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 1
HAL
9%
16%
76%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
NEU
1 - 3
BAY
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 2
NUR
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
ILL
0 - 1
BUC
56%
22%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
BUC
1 - 3
AUG
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
BUC
6 - 1
UNT
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 3
VRG
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |