Bayreuth SpVgg vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
AUG
1 - 0
BAY
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
BAY
1 - 0
WAL
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
BAY
1 - 1
KSC
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SAA
2 - 4
BAY
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
BAY
2 - 1
SGF
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
BAU
3 - 0
SAA
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
SGF
3 - 1
BAU
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
BAU
1 - 4
HOM
27%
26%
48%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
OFC
2 - 0
BAU
80%
13%
7%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
BAU
1 - 3
WWO
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |