Bayreuth SpVgg vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
HOM
1 - 0
BAY
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
BAY
0 - 2
AUG
65%
19%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
DAR
1 - 0
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1978 |
BAY
2 - 0
WUR
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1977 |
BAY
2 - 0
FRE
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
BAU
3 - 0
EIN
58%
19%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
SVS
3 - 1
BAU
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
BAU
3 - 2
PIR
73%
14%
13%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1978 |
FSV
2 - 1
BAU
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1977 |
OFC
5 - 0
BAU
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |