Bayreuth SpVgg vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.8%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.1%
2.1%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
WUR
3 - 2
BAY
14%
20%
66%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
BAY
1 - 2
FCN
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1976 |
BAY
0 - 3
BAY
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
BAY
1 - 4
MUN
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
RVO
2 - 0
BAY
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
BAU
2 - 2
PIR
19%
19%
63%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
FSV
2 - 1
BAU
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1976 |
BAU
4 - 2
SVS
20%
20%
60%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | +3 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
EIN
2 - 0
BAU
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
BAU
5 - 2
SSV
22%
24%
55%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +2 |