Bayreuth SpVgg vs Bad Kötzting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2008 |
SCH
0 - 2
BAY
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
BAY
3 - 0
GRO
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
ISM
0 - 6
BAY
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BAY
2 - 0
NUR
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
WEI
1 - 2
BAY
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
BAD
4 - 1
KEM
60%
21%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ANS
1 - 2
BAD
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
BAD
2 - 3
TSV
50%
26%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
BAD
1 - 0
ISM
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
WUR
0 - 2
BAD
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |