Bayreuth SpVgg vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
79.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
NUR
0 - 3
BAY
54%
21%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 3
WAC
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 2
BAY
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 5
BAY
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 4
BAY
24%
22%
53%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 1
TWE
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
STU
5 - 2
ARB
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 0
HAN
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
VER
3 - 0
ARB
16%
21%
63%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
STU
0 - 2
ARB
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |