Bayreuth SpVgg vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
186
5 - 0
BAY
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
BAY
1 - 0
FUR
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TSV
1 - 0
BAY
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
BAY
4 - 0
SCS
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
BAY
1 - 0
TSA
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ANS
0 - 2
BAY
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
SCS
1 - 1
ANS
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ANS
1 - 1
NUR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
ANS
2 - 1
UNT
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
ANS
2 - 2
GER
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |