Bayreuth SpVgg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
BAY
1 - 1
HER
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
SCF
1 - 1
BAY
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1986 |
OSN
1 - 0
BAY
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
DAR
3 - 0
BAY
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1986 |
BAY
0 - 0
WAT
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
MSV
1 - 2
AAA
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1986 |
AAA
3 - 2
EBT
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
DAR
1 - 1
AAA
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
AAA
5 - 1
ROT
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1986 |
KSC
1 - 1
AAA
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |