Bayreuth SpVgg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
FRE
3 - 2
BAY
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
BAY
4 - 0
USO
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
OSN
3 - 0
BAY
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
BAY
2 - 3
MUN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BAY
3 - 1
KFC
44%
22%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
AAA
2 - 1
WAL
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
S04
2 - 0
AAA
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
FRE
1 - 1
AAA
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1981 |
AAA
2 - 1
SAA
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
AAA
3 - 2
USO
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |