Bayreuth SpVgg vs TSV Aindling analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
UNT
1 - 1
BAY
40%
27%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 0
BAD
83%
12%
6%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 1
WOL
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 0
BAY
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 0
FCP
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Aindling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
TSV
2 - 2
GRE
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
TSV
0 - 1
HER
11%
20%
70%
|
28 | 84 | 56 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
TSV
39%
25%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
TSV
2 - 4
ANS
54%
23%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
WEI
4 - 3
TSV
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |