Bayreuth SpVgg vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
63.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 1
BAY
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 3
VRG
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 1
ROS
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
SCH
7 - 3
BAY
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 2
UNT
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 3
MUN
14%
23%
64%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 1
MUN
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ILL
0 - 2
MUN
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 1
AUG
73%
17%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
ING
1 - 4
MUN
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |