Bayreuth II SpVgg vs ASV Pegnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth II SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ERB
2 - 1
BSV
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
BAI
2 - 1
BSV
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BSV
2 - 5
FSB
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SKA
2 - 2
BSV
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BSV
2 - 2
ASV
25%
22%
54%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
ASV Pegnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
ASP
1 - 2
ERB
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TUR
6 - 6
ASP
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
ASP
3 - 2
SKA
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
NEU
3 - 1
ASP
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ASP
0 - 4
TSB
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |