Aviron Bayonnais vs Girondins Bordeaux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
12º
1º
22
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 37 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 34 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 24 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
STA
0 - 1
BAY
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAY
5 - 1
CAS
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LEG
0 - 0
BAY
32%
25%
42%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BAY
3 - 1
BAS
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 0
FCA
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
GDB
2 - 1
COL
22%
24%
55%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FCP
2 - 0
GDB
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
TOU
1 - 1
GDB
76%
15%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GDB
0 - 0
TRE
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
GDB
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |