Aviron Bayonnais vs Bassin d'Arcachon Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+157%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LEG
0 - 0
BAY
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAY
0 - 0
AUR
42%
27%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ROD
2 - 2
BAY
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 0
VIL
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 1
BAY
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
VIL
35%
24%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LES
1 - 1
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
BAL
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FAB
2 - 0
BAS
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |