Bayeux vs QRM II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SAI
3 - 0
BAY
69%
16%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 2
CAE
16%
17%
67%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GON
1 - 0
BAY
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 0
FCR
11%
21%
69%
|
21 | 63 | 42 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
AVR
5 - 4
BAY
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
QUE
2 - 1
CHE
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 2
QUE
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
QUE
1 - 1
EVR
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
QUE
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 2
ALE
48%
21%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |