Bayeux vs QRM II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
71.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DIE
2 - 2
BAY
84%
11%
4%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 1
DIV
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SAI
6 - 1
BAY
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 0
GON
17%
20%
64%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
PAM
4 - 2
BAY
55%
20%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 2
MON
62%
18%
19%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAE
5 - 0
QUE
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -3 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
QUE
5 - 2
ALE
58%
19%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
OIS
0 - 0
QUE
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
QUE
3 - 2
EVR
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |