Bayeux vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
66.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GON
1 - 0
BAY
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 0
FCR
11%
21%
69%
|
21 | 63 | 42 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
AVR
5 - 4
BAY
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 0
BAY
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 0
CAE
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
5 - 1
CHE
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAE
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 2
EVR
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 0
CAE
9%
14%
78%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 3
ALE
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |