Bayern München U17 vs Mainz 05 U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
3º
3º
26
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HOF
3 - 1
BMC
49%
21%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BMC
6 - 1
SVU
82%
11%
6%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 2
BMC
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BMC
3 - 0
STK
90%
7%
3%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 1
BMC
8%
15%
77%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
M05
0 - 3
MUN
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
STT
1 - 1
M05
82%
11%
7%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
M05
0 - 1
DAR
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GRF
1 - 2
M05
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
M05
0 - 2
SJR
74%
15%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |