UCL Qualifying Play Offs Final
Global 3-0
Bayern München vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
WOL
0 - 1
BYM
18%
20%
62%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
BYM
0 - 1
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
EBT
0 - 3
BYM
12%
19%
69%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
BYM
0 - 2
FCB
32%
25%
43%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
BYM
1 - 1
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 2
ZUR
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ZUR
6 - 0
GCZ
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SDL
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 1
ZUR
15%
21%
64%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
SDL
1 - 1
ZUR
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |