Bayern München vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
5º
1º
33
8º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
INT
0 - 2
BYM
25%
20%
55%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCU
1 - 1
BYM
5%
10%
85%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
VIK
0 - 5
BYM
1%
5%
94%
|
94 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 1
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 7
BYM
4%
9%
88%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STU
1 - 1
S04
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
KOL
0 - 0
STU
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
STU
3 - 0
STG
39%
23%
37%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STU
0 - 1
SCF
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 2
STU
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |