Champions League . Semi-finals
Global 0-5
Bayern München vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BYM
5 - 2
BRE
87%
10%
4%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
RMA
1 - 0
BYM
46%
22%
32%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
EBT
0 - 2
BYM
4%
12%
85%
|
98 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BYM
5 - 1
KAI
91%
8%
2%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BYM
0 - 3
BVB
72%
17%
12%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RMA
4 - 0
OSA
92%
6%
2%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
RMA
1 - 0
BYM
46%
22%
32%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
41%
21%
38%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
RMA
4 - 0
ALM
92%
6%
2%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
BVB
2 - 0
RMA
16%
20%
64%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | -1 |