Bayern München vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
EIN
2 - 2
BYM
10%
18%
72%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BYM
1 - 1
KOL
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 0
BYM
33%
26%
41%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HSV
0 - 1
BYM
7%
16%
78%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BYM
3 - 0
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PSV
1 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
PSV
25%
22%
53%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FCR
2 - 2
PSV
35%
25%
41%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
PSV
4 - 0
RJC
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | +1 |