Bayern München vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
5º
1º
46
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
0 - 3
BYM
24%
20%
56%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HOF
0 - 2
BYM
6%
11%
83%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
AUG
2 - 5
BYM
2%
8%
90%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BYM
5 - 0
SCF
78%
14%
8%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
VKP
2 - 4
BYM
5%
11%
84%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
M05
5 - 0
KOL
33%
25%
43%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
LUB
0 - 3
M05
7%
16%
77%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 2
M05
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
M05
1 - 1
RBL
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 1
M05
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |