Bayern München vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
WOL
0 - 2
BYM
19%
22%
59%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 2
BYM
33%
25%
42%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BYM
3 - 1
DAR
84%
12%
4%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AUG
1 - 3
BYM
9%
19%
72%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 3
BYM
8%
16%
76%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
M05
3 - 1
LEV
23%
25%
52%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HOF
3 - 2
M05
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
M05
2 - 1
S04
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HAN
0 - 1
M05
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
M05
1 - 0
MON
23%
25%
53%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |