Champions League . Last 16
Global 3-1
Bayern München vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 2
BYM
8%
13%
79%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BYM
2 - 1
RBL
65%
19%
16%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RTV
3 - 2
BYM
4%
10%
86%
|
99 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BYM
6%
11%
83%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
BYM
15%
18%
67%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ACM
34%
26%
41%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
LAZ
41%
24%
35%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 2
LAZ
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 2
BOL
56%
24%
20%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BYM
6%
11%
83%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | +1 |