UCL Last 16
Global 7-0
Bayern München vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HAN
1 - 3
BYM
6%
14%
80%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
BYM
2 - 0
EBT
92%
7%
1%
|
98 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
BYM
4 - 1
KOL
88%
9%
3%
|
98 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 6
BYM
5%
13%
82%
|
98 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
SHA
0 - 0
BYM
7%
14%
79%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MET
2 - 2
SHA
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MET
0 - 2
SHA
34%
24%
42%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SHA
3 - 0
VOR
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
SHA
0 - 0
BYM
7%
14%
79%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 2
SHA
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |