Bayern München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 2
BYM
25%
24%
51%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EIN
0 - 1
BYM
10%
18%
72%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
BYM
2 - 0
JUV
70%
18%
12%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BYM
9 - 2
HSV
81%
13%
6%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LEV
1 - 2
BYM
18%
22%
60%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCN
2 - 1
M05
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
WOL
2 - 2
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FCN
3 - 0
S04
23%
24%
53%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
AUG
1 - 2
FCN
37%
28%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FCN
1 - 1
SCF
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |