Bayern München vs FC Augsburg analysis

Bayern München FC Augsburg
96 ELO 79
17.3% Tilt 52.6%
General ELO ranking 78º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
88.5%
Bayern München
8.7%
Draw
2.9%
FC Augsburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
Bayern München
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
2.9%
Win probability
FC Augsburg
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern München
-2%
+4%
FC Augsburg

Points and table prediction

Bayern München
Their league position
FC Augsburg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
34
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
71
71
100%
B. Dortmund
71
71
100%
RB Leipzig
66
66
100%
Union Berlin
62
62
100%
SC Freiburg
59
59
100%
B. Leverkusen
50
50
0%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50
50
0%
Wolfsburg
49
49
100%
Mainz 05
46
46
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Köln
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Hoffenheim
12º
36
36
12º
0%
Werder Bremen
13º
36
36
13º
0%
VfL Bochum
14º
35
35
14º
100%
FC Augsburg
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Stuttgart
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Schalke 04
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Hertha BSC
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bayern München
FC Augsburg
Champion
100% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bayern München
FC Augsburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2023
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 0
PSG
PSG
73%
15%
12%
96 90 6 0
04 Mar. 2023
STU
Stuttgart
1 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
3%
9%
89%
96 80 16 0
26 Feb. 2023
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
81%
13%
6%
96 87 9 0
18 Feb. 2023
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
3 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
5%
11%
84%
95 85 10 +1
14 Feb. 2023
PSG
PSG
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
12%
16%
72%
95 90 5 0

Matches

FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
AUG
FC Augsburg
2 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
33%
24%
42%
78 80 2 0
25 Feb. 2023
HER
Hertha BSC
2 - 0
FC Augsburg
AUG
42%
25%
33%
79 78 1 -1
17 Feb. 2023
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 0
Hoffenheim
HOF
27%
23%
50%
78 82 4 +1
11 Feb. 2023
M05
Mainz 05
3 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
50%
25%
25%
78 82 4 0
03 Feb. 2023
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
20%
22%
59%
78 87 9 0