Champions League Last 16
Global 3-3
Bayern München vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BYM
3 - 2
F95
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HOF
0 - 1
BYM
7%
16%
77%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
BYM
1 - 0
BVB
62%
20%
18%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BYM
6 - 1
BRE
77%
14%
9%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 3
BYM
26%
23%
51%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 1
ASV
69%
18%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 3
BYM
26%
23%
51%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ARS
0 - 1
BBU
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SUN
0 - 1
ARS
17%
22%
62%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |